Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investments and portfolio diversification
We analyze the stability of financial investment networks, where financial institutions hold overlapping portfolios of assets. We consider the effect...
India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI) system and its transformative impact on the economy
India’s Unified Payment Interface (UPI) is an example of how an innovative payments and settlement system can initiate an economy wide transformation...
Artificial intelligence and stability
Financial institutions are rapidly embracing AI – but at what cost to financial stability? This column argues that AI introduces novel stability risks...
The one-in-a-thousand-day problem
Financial crises usually inflict the most damage when banks suddenly shift from pursuing profits to survival. This column argues that such drastic...
Phase transitions in debt recycling
Debt recycling is an aggressive equity extraction strategy that potentially permits faster repayment of a mortgage. While equity progressively builds...
Latent fragility: Conditioning banks' joint probability of default on the financial cycle
Journal of International Money and Finance, 146, 103107
How the financial authorities can respond to AI threats to financial stability
Artificial intelligence can act to either stabilise the financial system or to increase the frequency and severity of financial crises. This second...
AI financial crises
The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence is transforming the financial industry. This first of a two-column series argues that AI may either...
Research highlight
High-frequency trading in the stock market and the costs of options market making
Journal of Financial Economics, 159, 103900
Why so many crises happen when we know why they happen and how to prevent them
Financial crises are not complicated, and many claim to know why they happen and how to prevent them. Why then do they happen with such alarming...
Correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in random global value chains
This paper is concerned with upstreamness and downstreamness of industries and countries in global value chains. Upstreamness and downstreamness...
Upstreamness and downstreamness in input-output analysis from local and aggregate information
Ranking sectors and countries within global value chains is of paramount importance to estimate risks and forecast growth in large economies. However...
How the financial authorities can take advantage of artificial intelligence
Artificial intelligence will both be of considerable help to the financial authorities and bring new challenges. This column argues the authorities...
Chinese Debt Capital Markets - An Emerging Global Market with Chinese Characteristics
With the deepening of China's reform and opening up, and the sustained development of the Chinese economy, the Chinese bond market has become an...
When risk models hallucinate
Risk model hallucination happens when models are forced to forecast the likelihood of extreme events in cases where they have not been trained with...
