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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Discussion Papers

Ideas, Idea Processing, and TFP Growth in the US: 1899 to 2019

Innovativity – an economy's ability to produce the innovations that drive total factor productivity (TFP) growth – requires both ideas and the ability...

July 2022
DP 121
Kevin James
Akshay Kotak
Dimitri Tsomocos

Academic journals

Artificial intelligence and systemic risk

Journal of Banking & Finance, 140, 106290

July 2022
Jon Danielsson
Robert Macrae
Andreas Uthemann

Academic journals

Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Lender of Last Resort

The Review of Economic Studies, 89(4), 1654–1693

July 2022
Saleem Bahaj
Ricardo Reis

Opinion Pieces

Bitcoin isn’t much of a macro hedge

Bitcoin is often sold as protection against adverse macroeconomic outcomes. This column argues that this depiction as a macro hedge does not stand up...

June 2022
Jon Danielsson
Robert Macrae

Academic journals

Epidemic Exposure, Financial Technology, and the Digital Divide

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (forthcoming)

June 2022
Orkun Saka
Barry Eichengreen
Cevat G. Aksoy

Opinion Pieces

Covid-19 and trust among the young

Mishandled public health and other disasters erode young people’s trust in politicians for years

June 2022
Cevat G. Aksoy
Barry Eichengreen
Orkun Saka

Academic journals

Financial transaction taxes and the informational efficiency of financial markets: A structural estimation

Journal of Financial Economics (in press)

June 2022
Marco Cipriani
Antonio Guarino
Andreas Uthemann

Special Papers

CBDCs: Potential Impact on Bank Profitability, Asset and Risk Management and Financial Stability

In this paper we discuss whether or not the introduction of CBDCs may impact the profitability of banks and their ability to accumulate capital...

May 2022
SP 22
Brunello Rosa
Alessandro Tentori

Special Papers

Central bank digital currencies, reserve currencies and geopolitics

When it comes to central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), the focus of market participants and regulators – especially in the banking industry – is...

May 2022
SP 21
Brunello Rosa
Alessandro Tentori

Opinion Pieces

SUERF Policy Note - Stylised facts on debt and financial crisis

This policy note summarizes the main empirical findings on the role of debt in financial crisis. Credit booms – on mortgage debt, debt to the non...

April 2022
Pedro Duarte Neves

Discussion Papers

Bankers' Pay and the Evolving Structure of US Banking

We study the evolution of pay in US bank holding companies since 1986. We first set out the main empirical characteristics in both cross-section and...

April 2022
DP 120
Ron Anderson
Karin Jõeveer

Discussion Papers

Discounted Stochastic Games, the 3M Property and Stationary Markov Perfect Equilibria

We show that all discounted stochastic games DSGs satisfying the usual assumptions have Nash payoff selection correspondences having fixed points. Our...

April 2022
DP 119
Jing Fu
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

Demand–Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads

We develop a model in which long-term swap spreads are determined by end users’ demand for swaps, constrained dealers’ supply of swaps, and the risk...

April 2022
DP 118
Samuel G. Hanson
Aytek Malkhozov
Gyuri Venter

Discussion Papers

Epidemic Exposure, Financial Technology, and the Digital Divide

We ask whether epidemic exposure leads to a shift in financial technology usage and who participates in this shift. We exploit a dataset combining...

April 2022
DP 112
Orkun Saka
Barry Eichengreen
Cevat G. Aksoy

Academic journals

Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume

The Review of Financial Studies, 35(4), 1682–1722

April 2022
Jingchi Liao
Cameron Peng
Ning Zhu

Discussion Papers

Layered Networks, Equilibrium Dynamics, and Stable Coalitions

An important aspect of network dynamics that has been missing from our understanding of network dynamics in various applied settings is the influence...

March 2022
DP 117
Jing Fu
Frank Page
Jean-Pierre Zigrand

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Unmasking mutual fund derivative use

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Ideas, Idea Processing, and TFP Growth in the US: 1899 to 20 ...

Artificial intelligence and systemic risk

Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Lender of Last Reso ...

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