Lending cycles and real outcomes: Costs of political misalignment
Government ownership of banks can help solve credit market failures and stabilise the supply of credit over the business cycle. However, it can also...
Reconstructing and Stress Testing Credit Networks
Financial networks are an important source of systemic risk, but often only partial network information is available. In this paper, we use data on...
The Wealth Effect: How the Great Expectations of the Middle Class Have Changed the Politics of Banking Crises
The politics of major banking crises has been transformed since the nineteenth century. Analyzing extensive historical and contemporary evidence...
Financial Transaction Taxes and the Informational Efficiency of Financial Markets: A Structural Estimation
We develop a new methodology to estimate the impact of a financial transaction tax (FTT) on informational efficiency, liquidity and volatility. In our...
Cryptocurrencies: Financial stability and fairness
Cryptocurrencies are primarily held today for speculative reasons and see little economic use outside of that. This column argues that if private...
Cryptocurrencies: Policy, economics and fairness
Cryptocurrencies promise to replace fiat money with private money whose integrity is underpinned by algorithms, not government guarantees. While the...
Domestic banks as lightning rods? Home bias and information during Eurozone crisis
European banks have been criticized for holding excessive domestic government debt during economic downturns, which may have intensified the diabolic...
Asset Encumbrance, Bank Funding and Fragility
We model asset encumbrance by banks subject to rollover risk and study the consequences for fragility, funding costs, and prudential regulation. A...
Ten Years After the Global Financial Crisis: Causes, Outcomes, Lessons Learnt
September 15th, 2008: financial services firm Lehman Brothers files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, marking the largest default in U.S. history...
The hierarchy of financial policies
Financial policy is determined in multiple domains by separate government authorities. This column explores the hierarchical ranking of these domains...
Information acquisition, price informativeness, and welfare
Journal of Economic Theory, Volume 177, Pages 558-593.
A Tale of Two Indexes: Predicting Equity Market Downturns in China
Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...
Bankruptcy in Groups
We examine bankruptcy within business groups. Groups have incentives to support financially distressed subsidiaries as the bankruptcy of a subsidiary...