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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Opinion Pieces

Coronavirus panic fuels a surge in cash demand

Despite regular reports in the media over the past decade on the imminent death of cash amid rapid innovation in payment technologies, cash in...

July 2020
Jonathan Ashworth
Charles Goodhart

Opinion Pieces

Finance and politics: New insights

A rapidly expanding literature has shown the importance of political economy factors for legislative and regulatory actions in the financial sector...

July 2020
Thorsten Beck
Orkun Saka
Paolo Volpin

Opinion Pieces

The neighbourhood effect of reforms after crises

Countries reform when their neighbours have reformed too, especially in the aftermath of economic crises. This column examines business regulatory...

July 2020
Simeon Djankov
Dorina Georgieva
Hibret Maemir

Discussion Papers

Financial Volatility and Economic Growth, 1870–2016

We investigate the causal impact of financial risk on economic growth, using a panel spanning 150 years and 74 countries. Persistent low risk...

June 2020
DP 100
Jón Danielsson
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

Wisdom of Crowds Detects COVID-19 Severity Ahead of Officially Available Data

During the unfolding of a crisis, it is crucial to determine its severity, yet access to reliable data is challenging. We investigate the relation...

June 2020
DP 99
Jeremy David Turiel
Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes
Tomaso Aste

Discussion Papers

Higher-Order Uncertainty in Financial Markets: Evidence from a Consensus Pricing Service

We assess the ability of an information aggregation mechanism that operates in the over-the-counter market for financial derivatives to reduce...

June 2020
DP 98
Lerby Ergun
Andreas Uthemann

Opinion Pieces

The political scar of epidemics

What will be the political legacy of the COVID-19 pandemic? This column uses data from the 2006-2018 Gallup World Polls to show that epidemic exposure...

June 2020
Cevat G. Aksoy
Barry Eichengreen
Orkun Saka

Discussion Papers

The Political Scar of Epidemics

What will be the political legacy of the Coronavirus pandemic? We find that epidemic exposure in an individual’s “impressionable years” (ages 18 to 25...

June 2020
DP 97
Cevat G. Aksoy
Barry Eichengreen
Orkun Saka

Opinion Pieces

Inflation after the pandemic: Theory and practice

The correlation between monetary growth and inflation has an historic pedigree as long as your arm. This column argues that rejecting the likelihood...

June 2020
Charles Goodhart

Opinion Pieces

Revenge of the experts: Will COVID-19 renew or diminish trust in science?

It is argued that COVID-19 will reverse the ongoing trend of challenging the value of science and the integrity of scientists. This column shows that...

May 2020
Cevat G. Aksoy
Barry Eichengreen
Orkun Saka

Special Papers

COVID-19: A Double Whammy of Financial and Economic Sudden Stops for Emerging Economies

While it is too early to say how the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will ultimately affect emerging market economies (EMs), experience...

Gianluca Benigno
Andrew T. Foerster
Christopher Otrok
Alessandro Rebucci

Discussion Papers

Revenge of the Experts: Will COVID-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?

An effect of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is sometimes suggested, will be to reverse the secular trend toward questioning the value of scientific...

May 2020
DP 96
Cevat G. Aksoy
Barry Eichengreen
Orkun Saka

Discussion Papers

Survival of Firms during Economic Crisis

We estimate the survival time of nearly 7,000 firms in a dozen of high-income and middle-income countries in a scenario of extreme economic distress...

Erica Bosio
Simeon Djankov
Filip Jolevski
Rita Ramalho

Opinion Pieces

The need to issue long-dated gilts

The COVID-19 crisis presents a multi-faceted challenge to policymakers. A combination of declining commodity prices, the rise in unemployment, and...

May 2020
Charles Goodhart
Duncan Needham

Special Papers

Survival of firms in developing economies during economic crisis

With lockdown measures in place worldwide, cash-flow represents a significant concern for firms across multiple sectors. This chapter estimates the...

Erica Bosio
Joseph Lemoine
Filip Jolevski
Rita Ramalho

Discussion Papers

Volatility, dark trading and market quality: evidence from the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic-driven market volatility

We exploit the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets and regulatory restrictions on dark trading to investigate how volatility...

April 2020
DP 95
Gbenga Ibikunle
Khaladdin Rzayev

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News

"The Illusion of Control" listed on the FT's "Best books of ...

"The Illusion of Control" included on LSE's Review of Books ...

Jón Daníelsson on systemic risk and digital assets

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Events

Call for Papers: 4th LSE Workshop on Political Economy of Tu ...

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Seminars

Carbon Premium: Is It There?

Signed Option Trading and Stock Market Anomalies

Pricing Event Risk: Evidence from Concave Implied Volatility ...

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Publications

Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadr ...

The role of sentiment in the US economy: 1920 to 1934

The illusion of control: why the financial sector is more vu ...

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