We develop a new methodology to estimate the impact of a financial transaction tax (FTT) on informational efficiency, liquidity and volatility. In our sequential trading model there are price elastic noise traders and traders with private information of heterogeneous quality. We estimate the model without a tax and then quantify the elect of an FTT. In our sample, noise traders are price elastic but less so than informed traders. The introduction of an FTT changes the composition of the market, lowering informational efficiency. Even a small, 5 bps, FTT impedes correct price convergence on a sizeable percentage of days.
Systemic Risk Centre Discussion Papers DP 88