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Discussion Papers

A response to Professor Paul A. Samuelson's objectionxs to Kelly capital growth investing

The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Strategy maximizes the expected utility of final wealth with a Bernoulli logarithmic utility function. In 1956...

January 2016
DP 52
William T Ziemba

Discussion Papers

Resaleable debt and systemic risk

Many debt claims, such as bonds, are resaleable, whereas others, such as repos, are not. There was a fivefold increase in repo borrowing before the...

January 2016
DP 53
Jason Donaldson
Eva Micheler

Discussion Papers

Marking to Market versus Taking to Market

While the debate on cost and market-value accounting has been raging for years, economists lack a framework allowing a comparison of their relative...

December 2015
DP 51
Guillaume Plantin
Jean Tirole

Discussion Papers

Portfolio Optimization under Expected Shortfall: Contour Maps of Estimation Error

The contour maps of the error of historical resp. parametric estimates for large random portfolios optimized under the risk measure Expected Shortfall...

November 2015
DP 49
Fabio Caccioli
Imre Kondor
Gábor Papp

Discussion Papers

Endogenous Market Making and Network Formation

This paper proposes a theory of intermediation in which intermediaries emerge endogenously as the choice of agents. In contrast to the previous...

November 2015
DP 50
Briana Chang
Shengxing Zhang

Special Papers

Sovereign bond purchases and risk sharing arrangements: Sharing: Myth and Reality of the European QE

In March, the Eurosystem started to purchase on the secondary market euro-denominated bonds issued by governments, agencies and European institutions...

October 2015
SP 9
Eddie Gerba
Corrado Macchiarelli

Special Papers

Interaction between monetary policy and bank regulation: Theory and European practice

The European Union has pursued a number of initiatives to create a safer and sounder financial sector for the single market. In parallel, bold...

October 2015
SP 10
Eddie Gerba
Corrado Macchiarelli

Opinion Pieces

The macro-micro conflict

There has always been conflict between macro- and microeconomic regulation. Microeconomic policy reigns supreme during good times, and macro during...

October 2015
Jón Danielsson
Morgane Fouché
Robert Macrae

Discussion Papers

Human Capital and International Portfolio Diversification: A Reappraisal

We study the implications of human capital hedging for international portfolio choice. First, we document that, at the household level, the degree of...

October 2015
DP 48
Lorenzo Bretscher
Christian Julliard
Carlo Rosa

Opinion Pieces

Volatility, financial crises and Minsky's hypothesis

Does low volatility in financial markets mean that another financial crisis is more likely? And should we be worried when everything is OK? This...

October 2015
Jón Danielsson
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

Can We Prove a Bank Guilty of Creating Systemic Risk? A Minority Report

Since increasing a bank's capital requirement to improve the stability of the financial system imposes costs upon the bank, a regulator should ideally...

September 2015
DP 47
Jón Danielsson
Kevin James
Marcela Valenzuela
Ilknur Zer

Discussion Papers

Endogenous Contractual Externalities

We study effort and risk-taking behaviour in an economy with a continuum of principal-agent pairs where each agent exerts costly hidden effort. When...

September 2015
DP 46
Emre Ozdenoren
Kathy Yuan

Discussion Papers

Parameterized Games, Minimal Nash Correspondences, and Connectedness

Economics and game theory are replete with examples of parameterized games. We show that all minimal Nash payoff USCOs belonging to the Nash...

September 2015
DP 45
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

Stationary Markov Equilibria for K-Class Discounted Stochastic Games

For a discounted stochastic game with an uncountable state space and compact metric action spaces, we show that if the measurable-selection-valued...

September 2015
DP 44
Frank Page

Discussion Papers

A Fixed Point Theorem for Measurable-Selection-Valued Correspondences Arising in Game Theory

We establish a new fixed point result for measurable-selection-valued correspondences with nonconvex and possibly disconnected values arising from the...

September 2015
DP 43
Frank Page

Opinion Pieces

Iceland, Greece and political hectoring

The Greek and the Icelandic crisis have much in common, not the least the heavy pressure from foreign countries and the hectoring from their public...

August 2015
Jón Danielsson

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The Origins of Commodity Price Fluctuations

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How central banks can meet the financial stability challenge ...

Five systemic threats and what to do about them

Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investm ...

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