Jon Danielsson

Jon Danielsson is one of the two Directors of the Centre. He holds a PhD in economics from Duke University and is currently Associate Professor of Finance at LSE.  His research interests cover systemic risk, financial risk, econometrics, economic theory and financial crisis.

Jon has written two books, Financial Risk Forecasting and Global Financial Systems: Stability and Risk and published a number of articles in leading academic journals.

His main research webpage is http://modelsandrisk.org/ , whilst his LSE staff page is here. Jon’s blogs can be found on VoxEU.org.

Tel: +44 (0)20 7852 3544

Publications

Opinion Pieces
Jan 2015
The Swiss central bank last week abandoned its euro exchange rate ceiling. This column argues that the fallout from the decision demonstrates the inherent weaknesses of the regulator-approved standard risk models used in financial institutions....
Opinion Pieces
Jan 2015
Jeffrey Chwieroth and Jon Danielsson discuss the political challenges of the macroprudential agenda in the ESRC's annual flagship magazine Britain in 2015.
Opinion Pieces
Jun 2014
Risk forecasting is central to financial regulations, risk management, and macroprudential policy. This column raises concerns about the reliance on risk forecasting, since risk forecast models have high levels of model risk – especially when...
Discussion Papers
Apr 2014
DP 11
This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with and caused by market uncertainty....
Discussion Papers
Jan 2014
DP 8
Christophe M. Boucher, Jon Danielsson, Patrick S. Kouontchou and Bertrand B. Maillet
The experience from the global financial crisis has raised serious concerns about the accuracy of standard risk measures as tools for the quantification of extreme downward risk. A key reason for this is that risk measures are subject to model risk...
Opinion Pieces
Nov 2013
Basel III is coming into focus. The fundamental logic of the regulatory changes seems sensible, but the devil is in the detail – empirical implementation. This opinion piece discusses a detailed quantitative study, incorporating analytical...
Opinion Pieces
Oct 2013
Jon Danielsson, Ralph S.J. Koijen, Roger Laeven and Enrico Perotti
The European legislation on prudential rules for insurance companies (Solvency II) is set for a final decision. It will be of fundamental importance as it will dictate capital regulation for insurers.This article argues that the final text...
Opinion Pieces
Sep 2013
Central banks frequently lead the macroprudential policy implementation. The hope is that their credibility in conquering inflation might rub off on macroprudential policy. This column argues the opposite. The fuzziness of the macroprudential agenda...
Books
Aug 2013
The book uses economic theory, finance, mathematical modelling, risk theory, and policy to posit a comprehensive, coherent and current economic analysis of the inherent instabilities of the financial system and the design of optimal policy responses...
Opinion Pieces
May 2013
Icelandic voters recently ejected its post-Crisis government – a government that successfully avoided economic collapse when the odds were stacked against it. The new government comprises the same parties that were originally responsible for...

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